Siwon Lee

PhD Candidate in Economics

Research interests

International Trade · International Finance · Asset Pricing · Portfolio Theory · Machine Learning

Education

Dec 2025

MA in Economics

Washington University in St. Louis

Mar 2021–Aug 2024

BA in Global Economics and BS in Mathematics

Sungkyunkwan University

Jan 2023

Winter Joint Exchange Program

LUSEM & Hanken University Sweden and Finland

Research

Conference Proceedings

A Pooled Exceedance Rate Hides Two Failures in Firm Earnings-at-Risk Under Trade Policy Uncertainty

Siwon Lee

ACM ICAIF 2026 proceedings · Forthcoming

Overview

Evaluates Earnings-at-Risk models under trade policy uncertainty, separating tail misspecification from firm heterogeneity using quantile and conformal methods, with calibration by firm size.

Household Portfolio Choice under Trade Policy Uncertainty with a Deep Operator Network

Siwon Lee

ACM ICAIF 2026 proceedings · Forthcoming

Overview

Extends a Merton portfolio-choice model to include trade-policy uncertainty, jump risk, and stochastic equity volatility, and approximates its HJB solution operator with a multiple-input DeepONet.

Working Papers

The Impact of Tariff and Trade Policy Uncertainty Shocks on Household Asset Portfolios

Siwon Lee

Working paper

Overview

Estimates household stock, bond, and cash portfolio responses to trade-policy uncertainty shocks, and models transmission through firm inventories and imperfect inventory information. The paper develops a Merton-style framework for robust portfolio choice under Knightian uncertainty.

Conference: 2026 ZUEL International Workshop on Frontiers in Finance Research

Domestic Firm Financial Vulnerability Consequences of Exchange Rate Depreciation

Siwon Lee

Working paper

Overview

Studies firm financial vulnerability after exchange-rate depreciation, including heterogeneity by trade openness and financial hedging. It uses Deep Equilibrium Networks to solve nonconvex equilibrium conditions and develops a structural model with endogenous exchange rates and heterogeneous firms.

Homogeneity, Systemic Risk, and the Regulation of Automated Trading in India, the US, and the EU

Siwon Lee

Working paper

Overview

Models correlated automated trading, price feedback, and leveraged liquidation in continuous time, and analyzes position limits, margin requirements, and circuit breakers with reopening auctions across India, the US, and the EU.

Work in Progress

Market Impact of Large Shareholder Stock Sales: An Agent-Based Approach

Siwon Lee

Draft

Overview

Uses agent-based simulations of limit-order-book trading to study liquidity and volatility responses to large shareholder sales, including how information asymmetry, risk preferences, and forecast feedback affect price impact.

Labor Market Conditions and Household Financial Vulnerability

Siwon Lee

Research Proposal

Overview

Builds a state-year panel of labor-market indicators and mortgage delinquency to study links between labor-market vulnerability and household financial distress, including lagged specifications and robustness checks.

Selected Presentations

Jan, 2024

The Effect of Internet Reviews on the Demand of Experience Goods: Case of Korean Movie Industry

Sungkyunkwan-KEIO Symposium

Oct, 2022

Stabilizing ETF Price Gaps through Liquidity Provision with AI

2022 Capstone Design and AI Hackathon

Aug, 2022

Forecasting Inflation and Economic Recession: Comparison of Econometrics and Machine Learning

2022 SKKU Annual Conference on Economics

Workshops & Conferences

Teaching

Aug 2025–present

Assistant Instructor

Washington University in St. Louis Introduction to Macroeconomics; Introduction to Microeconomics

Feb 2023–Jun 2024

Teaching Assistant

Sungkyunkwan University Algorithm and Problem Solving; Computer Thinking and SW Coding; Problem Solving

Apr–Dec 2023

Lecturer, Young Economic Education Supporters

Bank of Korea

Feb 2022–Jun 2024

Sungkyun Tutoring

Sungkyunkwan University Intermediate Microeconomics Theory, Intermediate Macroeconomics Theory, and Econometrics

Academic Service

2026

Reviewer

ICAIF Main Conference, ACM

Aug 2026

Reviewer

21st Economics Graduate Student Conference, Washington University in St. Louis

Aug 2025

Reviewer

20th Economics Graduate Student Conference, Washington University in St. Louis

Membership

American Finance Association

Member